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How effective will a catalog of home designs be at improving housing supply?

Last week, the Canadian federal government announced that it will be developing a catalog of pre-approved housing designs in order to accelerate the delivery of new homes.

This is not a new idea. A similar approach was taken after the Second World War in order to quickly house veterans returning home. But in this current iteration, the catalog is expected to be focused on missing middle housing such as small multiplexes and student housing, and then later on higher-density construction.

We have also spoken about this idea before in the context of ADUs in Los Angeles. And at that time, I wrote that the way to encourage more of something is to reduce friction. I continue to believe that this is the case, and so I do think that pre-approved designs are a positive thing, especially for smaller projects.

However, it’s important to keep in mind that this is not the biggest barrier to new housing supply. The problem is not that developers and builders are all sitting around thinking “if only I had a design for a 5-unit multiplex.” The problem is that they’re sitting around thinking “if only I could make some money building a 5-unit multiplex.”

So while reducing the barriers to entry is a good thing, the really important question for the designs in this upcoming catalog is: Can developers actually make any money building them? Because if the answer is no, it doesn’t matter that they’re pre-approved and ready to go. They won’t be built.

Hopefully somebody is thinking about this because it will take some work. Every market is different. What works in one place, may not work in another. On top of this, what works today, may not work tomorrow.

2 Comments

  1. Lisa McGill

    I wish someone would put a proforma in front of government officials. They don’t seem to have a clue on the costs and timeline to develop projects. Template designs is not a new concept. we see it everyday in the horrible farm field developments. Developers have that one down.

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  2. doug pollard

    I guess the true benefit is supposed to come from the fact that if you select one of these designs then all sorts of approval things speed up because all sorts of authorities have already agreed on the plans (which I assume must include details on the wall constructions etc. It will be interesting to see if they include factory-built versions in order to help that industry , especially since they describe the skilled labour issue. I just saw an article about Cochrane offering lots for as little as 10 dollars in order to attract residents Imagine if you get a town eager to approve and a pre approved house that is pre manufactured and is erected in a day ..now here is speed for you.

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